Click on the table to zoom in.
Today, some gains for McCain in Ohio, Nevada, and New Hampshire, and for Obama in Virginia and Pennsylvania. But a gain for Obama in Minnesota moves the Land of 10,000 Lakes into his column, enough to change today's overall prediction to Obama in this neck-and-neck race. Also, Michigan moves from Toss Up to Leaning Obama, but this prediction methodology already had Michigan in Obama's column, so there's no overall change in projected EVs.
It's interesting to note that New Hampshire's 4 EVs are now the closest to switching sides, and if that were to happen we'd be in a tie situation with 269 EVs each. In the event of an actual tie on Election Day, the incoming (newly-elected) House of Representatives chooses the President, with each state delegation having one vote. It takes 26 states to elect the President. If neither candidate gets 26 states, they keep balloting. Currently, there are 26 states with a majority of Democratic House members, 21 Republican, and 3 have a 50-50 split [Arizona, Kansas, Mississippi]. But, of course, this can change after Election Day.
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